Showing posts with label risk management. Show all posts
Showing posts with label risk management. Show all posts

Mastering Value Risk: A step-by-step guide to understanding & applying VAR Review

Mastering Value Risk: A step-by-step guide to understanding and applying VAR
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Good Points:-
1) Simple math; good for beginners;
2) Practical; you can develop your own simple model;
3) Thin; it will only takes you three weeks to read and develop a model for yourself to see;
4) With simple examples to demonstrate key concepts; and
5) Most relevant concepts are included.
Bad Points:-
1) Not enough details for immediate/advanced learners;
2) Does not explain why each step is necessary & how the formula or assumptions behind each step; and
3) The question of "how a bank actually calculates a VaR" is left unanswered. That is, implementation part is not discussed.

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Volatility and Correlation: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox (Wiley Finance) Review

Volatility and Correlation: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox (Wiley Finance)
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I have read this text from cover to cover twice. It is much easier to understand its organization the second time around. The reviewer who complained that it feels disjointed perhaps simply didn't connect with the key messages running through the book. Having assumed (incorrectly) that the intro chapters were a bunch of fluff typical of these texts, I glossed over the intro the first time around. You'll benefit greatly if you scan the book, then go re-read the intro. It's all there put together painstakingly by an author who must have spent an inordinate amount of care and effort trying to make his points clear.
Another reviewer complains that it's verbose. Perhaps, but Rebonato really drives his points home by explaining the same thing from multiple angles and repeats himself at just the right points to keep you on the right track. I can see how somebody impatient can get annoyed by it, but if you are willing to invest time and read his prose - especially the intro chapters - carefully, the insight gained is definitely worth it. Not verbose at all in my view. Every paragraph has a purpose if you understand what he's trying to communicate.
It's an advanced text. Don't waste your time if you just learned what a call option it. There are more relevant texts for you out there. You should also have covered basics of stochastic calculus (see Neftci for one). For somebody who has traded vol and wanted to go deeper this book is pure gold. I love it as much as I love Taleb's Dynamic Hedging, albeit Taleb is much less formal and rigorous. What's common betw the two is the depth of original insight relevant to a trader not typically found in the sea of literature on derivs.

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Optimal Trading Strategies: Quantitative Approaches for Managing Market Impact and Trading Risk Review

Optimal Trading Strategies: Quantitative Approaches for Managing Market Impact and Trading Risk
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If you are interested in modeling things like price impact and total transaction cost of executing a large order, this book is the ONLY one you can find. This is not surprising given the narrow focus of this field. The book offers a systematic look at the different components of transaction cost and some pseudo-quantitative techniques -- I say "pseudo" because the equations are often of suspicious origins and often contain unforgiveable errors. If you want to know what VWAP means and how people implement VWAP strategies, you've come to the right place. If you want to know how price impact is defined and measured/estimated, you've come to the right place.
Audience for this book are the people on the trading desks of mutual funds and hedge funds who execute large-size orders for a living. This book is NOT for small day traders, as there's nothing about making a profit from day trading.

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Trading professionals, especially those with corporate clients, rack up millions of dollars in transaction costs each day. How trades are planned, structured, and executed has a direct and enormous impact on the value of the investment and on the profitability for the money manager. "Optimal Trading Strategies" is the first book devoted to a thorough mathematical and strategic analysis of these costs and how traders can minimize them, in turn maximizing returns on investments and efficiency of trades.

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Day Trade Part-Time Review

Day Trade Part-Time
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When John and I started trading, we found such a confusing mess of information that we had a very difficult time getting started. And it was an expensive time because we had no clear direction or path to take. We wrote this book to serve as a mentor to people who want to give day trading a try, but don't want to "quit their day job" or lose their life's savings to do it.
Day trading is not, and should never be, gambling. In times of extreme market volatility, it can be your most conservative investment style. Understanding and using the principles of day trading can be a safe alternative to a "buy and hold" strategy when the markets are in a zig-zag pattern up and down. With the technology stocks going up 10 points one day and down 10 the next, a careful day trader can capture a piece of that variability each day, whereas a "buy and holder" would be net flat and probably developing a considerable ulcer. Everyone interested in stocks should know enough about day trading to understand good intraday entry points, even if they are primarily investors.
This book is meant to act as your guide - helping you take each step in the learning process toward becoming a successful part-time day trader. We show you how to find a broker, what software you need, what books to read, what web sites to look at, what training course you need, and give you guidance on how to put it all together.
Most important, we tell you everything that can go wrong! And we show you how to practise without risking any of your hard earned money. This is not a get-rich quick scheme. It is an approach that will enable you to capture the daily variations in the market.
John and I were not hedge fund managers. We were not stock brokers. We were just regular people like most of you that wanted to find a way to make a little extra money. We know what regular people "don't" know - we don't assume you have Wall Street Knowledge. We talk to you like we wish someone had talked to us. And we give you examples of the things we went through so you can learn from our experiences and not have to repeat our mistakes.
We wish you much success. Jeanette

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Intermarket Technical Analysis: Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets (Wiley Finance) Review

Intermarket Technical Analysis: Trading Strategies for the Global Stock, Bond, Commodity, and Currency Markets (Wiley Finance)
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There is very little information out there on Intermarket analysis (see Martin Pring's "All Season Investor" and Murray Ruggiero "Cybernetic Trading Strategies" among the few to offer info in this niche). Turns out the Intermarket form of technical analysis is among the most important in analyzing the economy and the various links between financial sectors. It's a key to deciphering the intermediate and longer term trends (& with Ruggiero, possibly short term trends). Amazingly, nearly all high paid economists and many financial market analysts get it wrong, but the markets collectively don't by definition. (You can't trade an economist, there is no "economic futures index", and the economists generally aren't traders since they don't know how.) Once you have the basics of technical analysis under your belt, this book is a pivotal and necessary step forward in an education towards deciphering the increasingly interrelated worldwide financial markets. A must read, but only for the serious investor. Too complicated and difficult to use for the dilettante. I wish John would do a "year 2000" update just to freshen up the charts, but the basic relationships haven't changed much and the lessons are still totally valid.

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Trying to trade stock, bond, commodity and currency markets without intermarket awareness is like trying to drive a car without looking out the side and rear windows--very dangerous. In this guide to intermarket analysis, the author uses years of experience in technical analysis plus extensive charts to clearly demonstrate the interrelationshps that exist among the various market sectors and their importance. You'll learn how to use activity in surrounding markets in the same way that most people employ traditional technical indicators for directional clues. Shows the analyst how to focus outward, rather than inward, to provide a more rational understanding of technical forces at work in the marketplace.

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Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance Review

Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance
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This is an outstanding book about a finance revolutionary. This biography is as interesting as Sylvia Nazar "A Beautiful Mind" about John Nash, the pioneer of Game Theory.
Fischer Black, the human being was as interesting as Nash. As a young man, he was quite the adventurer and engaged in casual sex and taking LSD. But, after suffering a failed marriage and the death of a close friend he recognized the risk of those activities. Thus, he started to live by the CAPM motto to manage the risk in his own life. He drove safe cars, wearing seatbelts before it was mandatory and adhering to a strict diet (fish and vegetables). He married another two times to finally get it right. During his second marriage, when it was not working out, he would seek female companions by posting personal ads in the local paper. And, he would encourage his wife to do the same! Later, he met his third wife through a dating service.

Fischer Black became famous for what he cared less about: the Black Scholes option model. Options were just a passing interest. He cared more about CAPM developed by Jack Traynor. His lifelong ambition was to apply CAPM to economics.
He failed to leave a legacy in economics. Perry Mehrling explains why. Fischer Black had degrees in physics and mathematics but no formal training in economics. His General Equilibrium theory clashed with both Keynesians and monetarists. While at Chicago, his General Equilibrium theory got no respect from Milton Friedman, the leading monetarist. Later, Paul Samuelson, the leading Keynesian at MIT, treated him just as badly. He could not get his economics papers published. In academia he became recognized as cutting edge in finance, but out of his depth in economics.
Fischer was very much egoless. He took all the rebuttals from economics luminaries in stride. They never discouraged him to pursue his economics research. Also, he quickly adopted the binomial tree option model developed in 1976 by Cox-Ross-Rubinstein. He viewed it as faster and more flexible than his own Black Scholes model. Other common mortals would have hung on proudly to their own model. Not Fischer Black!

Before Fischer Black finance was a minor discipline to economics. After Fischer Black, the reverse is truer. Even though he was the original quant on Wall Street, he really did not think like one.
Fischer Black thought like no one else. While his MIT colleagues would attack problems head on with formulas and models, Fischer Black would not. He would explore a problem from as many different angles as he could think. Once he had essentially solved the problem conceptually in his head he would finally generate the formula. The formula was just the concrete representation of his solution. If you developed a formula first and a solution second, as his MIT colleagues did, you would get stuck in a thinking rut dictated by your formula.
His teaching methods were bizarre. He got bored teaching already acquired knowledge. Thus, he felt regular lectures were a waste of time. It would be better for students to spend the time studying the textbook directly. However, he developed a teaching style he and his students found engaging. He came up with a list of 50 questions explorative in nature. This helped him pick ideas from brilliant young minds. His students loved it, because it turned the class into a vibrant seminar.
Fischer Black pioneered many concepts that resulted in new financial markets. In 1969, as a consultant for Wells Fargo with Myron Scholes, they propose three passive investment strategies never thought of before. One was the equivalent of an index fund and another a hedge fund. As a result of this work, Wells Fargo introduced the first S&P 500 index fund to institutional investors in 1973. And, John Boggle of Vanguard did the same for retail investors in 1976. His work on options in the late 60s lead to the opening of the Chicago Board Options Exchange in 1973. His work on valuing futures in 1976, lead to the Merc introducing such contracts on the S&P 500 in 1983. Later, when working for Goldman Fischer developed the first computer trading system. There, he also co-developed the Black-Derman-Toy model to value any fixed income derivative product. Thereafter, the entire derivative market really took off.
If you like this book, you will like Roger Lowenstein "When Genius Failed. The Rise and Fall of Long Term Capital Management." It describes the fascinating tragedy of how Fischer Black colleagues Myron Scholes and Robert Merton tarnished their reputation by co-founding a hedge fund that needed to be bailed out. Fischer Black was prescient in figuring out they were loading on risk (time dimension) and turned down the offer to join LTCM. Thus, Fischer Black legend goes on.


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Alchemists of Loss: How modern finance and government intervention crashed the financial system Review

Alchemists of Loss: How modern finance and government intervention crashed the financial system
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I wanted to like this book. And I did in many ways. But not enough to give it a higher rating. I appreciated the detailed discussion of "Modern Finance". I appreciated the discussions of the various transgressions of financial institutions without blaming "the free market". The discussion of managerial capitalism was fascinating. Nuggets such as the impact of the estate tax on corporate structure were also illuminating. There is also an interesting and fresh discussion on how Greenspan's policies evolving over his term.
I did find some chapters were so dense with mathematical analysis that I mostly skimmed them. (To the authors' credit, they acknowledge such at the beginning of chapter 15 by suggesting that it could be optional for some readers.)
The broad recommendations of stricter monetary controls, reduction in the scope of deposit insurance, and restrictions on future bailouts of financial institutions seemed quite sound. The overall tone that our financial systems would be better served with less government actions and less regulation was also compelling to me (acknowledging my own confirmation bias.)
I did find chapter 16 to be a little muddy. The authors suggest various reforms of corporate governance while seemingly ignoring how these reforms might be implemented without additional government interventions. To my eyes, the authors fell into the trap that all we need is better regulations of financial institutions and corporations without acknowledging the incentives that governments and legislatures have when crafting such regulations.
For US readers, keep in mind that the book is mostly written from a UK perspective. Not completely, for sure, but enough that I was forced to pause regularly to make sure I understood what was being presented.

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The Fundamentals of Risk Measurement Review

The Fundamentals of Risk Measurement
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An earlier review suggested that the book's contents are not original and you can find the information elsewhere.
This is not a thesis, it is a text book. The purpose of a thesis is to record original ideas and demonstrate the cleverness of the author. The purpose of a text book is to bring together an existing body of knowledge so that it can be easily understood and used by the reader.
The book was written to be as clear as possible so as to remove the unnecessary mystery from risk management. It was written because most, if not all, other books on risk assume that you already have a good knowledge of the industry and its methodologies. Furthermore, most books deal with only one aspect of risk, rather than taking an integrated view.
I suggest that this book does three things well:
*It gathers information together, so that in one place you can get a good picture of the whole framework of risk measurement. If you want to delve into details later, then of course you should buy books that specialize in those corners.
*For beginners, it gives foundation chapters on banking and statistics so that everyone will be able to understand the later chapters. For example if you have a science PhD you will first want to know how banks work, the meaning of capital and the difference between a credit risk derivative and credit risk for a derivative. If you are an MBA who has not recently done matrix math and statistics, you will probably appreciate the review in Chapter 3.
*The book gives many specific examples so that you can quickly make your own risk calculations. In this respect it is more detailed than many other risk books. It minimizes the discussion of philosophy and history, to give the tools that the reader needs as quickly as possible.
I believe that this book is a good way to quickly get to the heart of risk measurement. In 400 pages it is not possible (or even desirable) to cover every aspect of risk, but you can certainly give a solid introduction and overview. As such, I suggest that The Fundamentals of Risk Measurement does a good job both for the beginner and for those who already know one area of risk, but wish to have an integrated view of risk measurement for the whole bank. Even with several years in the industry, an open minded reader should still enjoy seeing everything brought together in this book.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1:The Basics of Risk ManagementThis chapter introduces how banks work.It describes how they make money, how they often lose money, and how they try to manage their losses.It includes thirteen short case studies showing how banks have lost money.

Chapter 2: Risk Measurement at the Corporate Level: Economic Capital and RAROCChapter Two discusses the meaning of capital and how the risks that a bank faces are related to the amount of capital that the bank should hold.It then describes the two fundamental building blocks of integrated risk measurement: Economic Capital and Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC).

Chapter 3: Review of StatisticsChapter Three is useful for those readers who do not have a recent working knowledge of statistics.It reviews the statistical relationships that are commonly used in risk measurement and provides reference material for the rest of the book.Examples are provided using financial loss data.
MARKET RISK SECTION

Chapter 4: Background on Traded InstrumentsThis chapter gives an overview of the main types of traded instruments: bonds, equities and derivatives.It gives a qualitative description of the instrument, examples of calculating the instrument's value and the basic risk metrics such as duration and the Greeks.This chapter is useful for those readers who are new to the finance industry.

Chapter 5: Market Risk MeasurementThis chapter describes the most common ways to measure market risks: Sensitivity analysis, Stress testing, Scenario testing, Sharpe Ratio and Value at Risk.It gives detailed examples of using each of the metrics.

Chapter 6: The Three Common Approaches for Calculating Value at RiskValue at Risk (VaR) has become the standard approach for measuring market risk.This chapter is devoted to explaining the details of the three common approaches to calculating VaR: Parametric VaR, Historical VaR and Monte Carlo VaR.We work though increasingly complex examples and compare the strengths of each approach.(Note: many readers will be particularly interested in this chapter because the name "VaR" is well known and has a certain mystery)

Chapter 7: Value at Risk ContributionThe Value at Risk Contribution (VaRC) is a useful way of pinpointing the source of the portfolio's risk.VaRC can break down the risk by instrument, trading desk or market risk factor.Examples are given for several types of VaRC.

Chapter 8: Testing VaR Results to Ensure Proper Risk MeasurementThis chapter discusses the procedures required by regulators to backtest VaR calculators to check that their predictions of losses are consistent with market events.

Chapter 9: Calculating Capital for Market RiskVaR is used as the basis for calculating both Regulatory Capital and Economic Capital for Market Risks.In this chapter VaR also extended to measure the risk of Asset Management operations.

Chapter 10: Overcoming VaR LimitationsAlthough VaR is the best single metric for market risks, is has several limitations.The limitations and typical solutions are discussed in this chapter.

Chapter 11: The Management of Market Risk This chapter concludes the market risk section by describing how the results of risk measurement are used by management to identify the sources of risk.It also describes the process of setting VaR Limits.(Note: readers should be particularly interested in VaR Limits because it is difficult and an important element in controlling a bank's risk).

ASSET/LIABILITY MANGEMENT SECTION

Chapter 12: Introduction to Asset Liability ManagementAsset Liability Management (ALM) is primarily concerned with the interest rate and liquidity risks that are created when commercial banks take in short term deposits from customers and give out long term loans.This chapter describes how those risks arise and the risk characteristics of different types of deposits and loans.
Chapter 13: Measurement of Interest Rate Risk for ALMThis chapter discussed the primary techniques used to measure interest rate risk: Gap reports, Rate shift scenarios and Simulations

Chapter 14: Funding Liquidity Risk in ALMThe measurement of liquidity risk is broken into three groups: expected, unusual and crisis events.Measurement techniques are given for each group.

Chapter 15: Funds Transfer Pricing and the Management of ALM RisksA key use of asset/liability measurement is the calculation of the fair price at which funds should be lent from one department to another within a bank.This is one of the keys to integrated risk measurement and is a critical component in measuring risk-adjusted profitability and setting prices to customers.A typical balance sheet is used to illustrate how transfer pricing works in detail.
CREDIT RISK SECTION

Chapter 16: Introduction to Credit RiskThis chapter discusses the sources of credit risk and how measurement is used to manage the risks

Chapter 17: Types of Credit StructureFor readers who are unfamiliar with lending operations, we discuss the ways that credit exposures are structured in commercial and retail lending.It also describes the calculation of credit exposure for derivatives trading operations and gives an overview of credit derivatives.

Chapter 18: Risk Measurement for a Single FacilityThis chapter shows how the Expected Loss and Unexpected Loss for a loan can be calculated from the Probability of Default, Loss In the Event of Default, Exposure at Default and the Grade Migration Matrix.

Chapter 19: Estimating Parameter Values for Single FacilitiesOne of the main difficulties in credit risk measurement is the estimation of values for Probability of Default, Loss Given Default and Exposure at Default.This chapter discusses estimation techniques such as Discriminant Analysis and the Merton Model.It also gives parameter values that can be used as the basis for the reader's own models.The parameter values are used in examples to demonstrate how the credit risk calculations are used.

Chapter 20: Risk Measurement For A Credit Portfolio: Part OneTo estimate the overall risk for a portfolio many credit instruments, we must examine the correlation between losses.This chapter describes the Covariance Credit Portfolio Model and the different approaches available for estimating default correlations.It also describes how the correlations can be used to estimate the Unexpected Loss Contribution and the Economic Capital for a single facility within a portfolio.

Chapter 21: Risk Measurement For A Credit Portfolio: Part TwoThis chapter describes the four other widely used approaches for estimating the risk of credit portfolios: the actuarial model, the Merton-based simulation model, the macro economic default model and the macro economic cashflow model used for structured and project finance.It concludes with a section describing how the models can be combined in a unified framework to create an integrated simulation of all the bank's risks

Chapter 22: Risk Adjusted Performance and Pricing for LoansKnowing the economic capital for a loan, this chapter shows how to calculate the minimum price that should be charged to a loan customer.The analysis shows how to include multi-year effects such as grade migration.Illustrative examples are included.(Note: this chapter should be of interest to readers because loan pricing is another difficult and important subject that is rarely discussed in other books)

Chapter 23: Regulatory Capital for Credit RiskThe Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (often called the BIS) is planning fundamental changes to the way that banks must calculate the capital that they hold.The new calculations will be very similar to the calculations described in the rest of this book for economic capital.This chapter summarizes the history of the Capital Accords then compares the different approaches that the BIS will allow.It also gives a standard plan for implementing the new Accords.(Note: this should be of interest to readers because the shift to BIS measurement is of major importance, it will be difficult for most banks, and it must be completed by 2005)

OPERATING RISK SECTION

Chapter 24: Operating riskThe quantification of Operating Risks is on the frontier of the industry's understanding of risk measurement. The risk estimation approaches can be categorized as either qualitative, structural or actuarial.These approaches are described including Key Risk Indicators and the BIS approaches.

INTEGRATED RISK SECTION

Chapter 25: Inter-risk Diversification and Bank-Level RAROCThis chapter describes how all the models are linked to calculate Economic Capital and Risk Adjusted Profitability for the Bank as a whole.It concludes with of the steps normally required to implement the bank-wide measurement of Economic Capital and RAROC.pital and RAROC.


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Options for the Stock Investor: How to Use Options to Enhance and Protect Returns Review

Options for the Stock Investor: How to Use Options to Enhance and Protect Returns
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I recently added "Options for the Stock Investor" to my financial trading and investment library, hoping it would keep its promise describing it as logically written in a systematic and straightforward manner. I'm pleased to say it HASN'T DISAPPOINTED.
Unfortunately, this book hasn't received the attention it deserves among the many books devoted primarily to intermediate options traders/investors. I've always felt that options were explained in a much too "matter of fact" manner, where the most practical information is inadvertently ignored, obscured or non-existent.
Anyone trying to learn stock options is arguably bombarded by fearful information and disorganized, incomplete explanations. This short but concentrated book cuts through the many counterintuitive aspects and implicit contradictions involving stock options.
Beginners need only go to the Investopedia and similar sites on the internet to reinforce the Introduction and supplement their exposure to the language of options.
I've seen some of the worst. This book ranks highly among the best.

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McGraw-Hill's classic options bestseller, Options for theStock Investor, has been updated to reflect changes in theoptions market. This extensively revised second edition featuresall-new material describing electronic trading, decimalization,and single stock futures, along with increasinglypopular vehicles such as stock indexes, LEAPs, and exchangetradedfunds. The CD-ROM contains all-new OP-EVAL IIsoftware, which eliminates guesswork while providing handsoninformation on spreads, position Greeks, and "what-if"forecasting and graphing features.


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The Psychology of Risk: Mastering Market Uncertainty Review

The Psychology of Risk: Mastering Market Uncertainty
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Kiev's thesis rests upon the premise of setting profit goals and then trying to hit them. The idea is that you will be compelled to refine everthing about your trading and put away all excuses in order to reach this goal -- a sort of goal as catalyst for improvement theory. While this seems like good advice I am afraid that for longer term traders it runs headlong into the "only take what the market gives you" truism. If I set a goal of $10,000 per month, what do I do when the market goes nowhere for four weeks? You guessed it, I would try to force things. Not good. So unless you are willing to accept the thesis of setting specific profit goals you won't gain that much from this book. A much better treatment of general trading psychology can be found in Mark Douglas' "Trading in the Zone".

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One of the financial world's most respected experts on the psychology of risk provides a revolutionary risk management modelOver the past three decades investors have adopted all varieties of complex quantitative systems for quantifying and managing risk. Yet, sophisticated investors and money managers continue to suffer record losses in today's increasingly volatile markets. This book bridges the gap between investor psychology and quantitative risk management with a revolutionary risk management program that virtually any trader or investor can easily adapt to their goals and personalities. Using numerous fascinating real-life case studies, Dr. Kiev illustrates the various psychological and emotional traps to which even the savviest investors can fall victim. He develops a dynamic new risk management model that combines quantitative models and money management techniques. He also provides rigorous guidelines that will help readers answer such crucial questions as: How much should I trade? How much risk can I handle? and When should I get out?

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Exotic Options and Hybrids: A Guide to Structuring, Pricing and Trading (The Wiley Finance Series) Review

Exotic Options and Hybrids: A Guide to Structuring, Pricing and Trading (The Wiley Finance Series)
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Great book which strikes an apt balance between theory and practice. There a lot more complicated texts but they are not as intuitive as this one. Also the treatment of risks for various structured products gives a great overview of how dealers approach such exotics. The author also delivers various common sensical reasons on which models to use and when. Helped me understand a lot of stuff much better than any other such reference. I would recommend it to everyone.

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The recent financial crisis brought to light many of the misunderstandings and misuses of exotic derivatives. With market participants on both the buy and sell-side having been found guilty of not understanding the products they were dealing with, never before has there been a greater need for clarification and explanation.

Exotic Options and Hybrids is a practical guide to structuring, pricing and hedging complex exotic options and hybrid derivatives that will serve readers through the recent crisis, the road to recovery, the next bull market and beyond. Written by experienced practitioners, it focuses on the three main parts of a derivative's life: the structuring of a product, its pricing and its hedging.
Divided into four parts, the book covers a multitude of structures, encompassing many of the most up-to-date and promising products from exotic equity derivatives and structured notes to hybrid derivatives and dynamic strategies. Based on a realistic setting from the heart of the business, inside a derivatives operation, the practical and intuitive discussions of these aspects make these exotic concepts truly accessible.

Adoptions of real trades are examined in detail, and all of the numerous examples are carefully selected so as to highlight interesting and significant aspects of the business. The introduction of payoff structures is accompanied by scenario analysis, diagrams and lifelike sample term sheets. Readers learn how to spot where the risks lie to pave the way for sound valuation and hedging of such products. There are also questions and accompanying discussions dispersed in the text, each exploited to illustrate one or more concepts from the context in which they are set.
The applications, the strengths and the limitations of various models are highlighted, in relevance to the products and their risks, rather than the model implementations. Models are de-mystified in separately dedicated sections, but their implications are alluded to throughout the book in an intuitive and non-mathematical manner.
By discussing exotic options and hybrids in a practical, non-mathematical and highly intuitive setting, this book will blast through the misunderstanding of exotic derivatives, enabling practitioners to fully understand and correctly structure, price and hedge theses products effectively, and stand strong as the only book in its class to make these "exotic" concepts truly accessible.

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Financial Risk Management: A Practitioner's Guide to Managing Market and Credit Risk (with CD-ROM) Review

Financial Risk Management: A Practitioner's Guide to Managing Market and Credit Risk (with CD-ROM)
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This is a must buy book for both kinds of people: students or people in academia and practitioners who want to understand different type of risk they face at a macro or micro level. The reasons I like this book on risk management better than thousand others already out there are following. I like to describe this book as having two sections, both the sections are very important and people can focus on either depending on what they are looking for. The first part of the book provides a very good understanding of the risks faced by managers, for example risk managers, head of a trading portolfio or a desk or even CEOs. Very often these people face risk which are hard to quantify or even understand and are not often talked about. The author draws from personal experience and provides interesting case studies,. which makes this part of the book a pleasure to read. I learnt about model risk, reputation risk and other such risks which typically a junior person on a trading desk is not exposed to. So this understanding is very valuable in order to communicate with your boss or to get more insights about risks that management may care about.
The Second part of the book focusses on risk management of different type of instruments, instruments range from plain vanilla to complex path dependent options. It spans through assets classes as well. As promised by the author, the level of mathematical and quantitative background required is kept to the minimum. The text provides intuition about what market variables or market moves a specific instruments depends on rather than complex formulae to price such instruments. For somebody like me, who has a little more mathematical background than an average reader, the text points to latest research or specific papers that I can explore if I want to flex my quantitative muscle.
The book is full of very interesting exercises and case studies, which are truly practical. This is something which is completely different from many texts that I have seen on this topic.
Overall, I highly recommend this book to anybody who has anything to do with trading financial instruments.

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Financial Risk Management covers the strategies, principles, and measurement techniques necessary to measure and manage financial risk. With a focus on management perspective, this book explores real-world issues such as model validation, risk measurement, valuation methodologies, and much more. Self-contained Excel spreadsheets are included on the companion CD-ROM.

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The Complete Guide to Building a Successful Trading Business Review

The Complete Guide to Building a Successful Trading Business
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Put simply I found this book to be exactly what it says; a complete guide to building a successful trading business.
The layout and design are clear and concise, the material constantly relevant and the narrative always thought provoking. Throughout I was struck by the meticulous detail especially on the adminstrative areas like contingency planning (for most people these are the boring and most overlooked areas of trading - hint - that it's so exhaustively covered here should be telling you something). If you are someone who is just looking for quick fixes or holy grail systems this book will not give you what you want, it will however tell you what you need to hear.
The section on simulation was particularly useful for me being an area I personally needed to better understand and again the detail is extensive. I am also someone who likes to dip in to books for reference material afterwards and the way this book has been designed and written it is perfect for that as the author has been very careful to cross-reference relevant topics elsewhere in the book so each area is completely covered.
In all I found this to be an excellent addition to my trading library.

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This concise, to the point, and waffle-free reference lays out everything you need to do to build a successful trading business.It includes:How to maintain discipline and accurately run your trading business.How to allocate capital to your trading systems.How you should use simulation in your trading.How to create, develop, and test your trading systems.What good contingency planning looks like.What should be in your business plan.This book is a "must-read" for anyone serious about trading for a living.See pmkingtading.com for more details.

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Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options (Wiley Finance) Review

Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options (Wiley Finance)
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This book provides a healthy dose of practical wisdom for options traders so that they don't blindly follow their mathematical models into oblivion. The author (Taleb) has a PhD in finance, but also has traded in the pits, he knows both theory and practice and where they diverge.
Taleb focuses on hedging, which is a trader's main task when running a large portfolio of options. Instead of using a flood of equations, Taleb relies on charts, graphs, and tables to make his points. Most of the equations & heavy mathematics are relegated to the appendix, presumably because quants (or software) will price the instruments. He covers the behavior of the Greeks (delta, gamma, vega, theta, etc.) for vanilla options as well as behavior of exotic options, and delves into the practicalities of volatility, hedging at discontinuities, and various other topics.
The book is very popular on trading desks, and although I found it pretty good, I didn't find it to be outstanding. Also, notably, the book does NOT cover credit & interest rate derivatives at all; hopefully this will be corrected in the next edition.
So if you need a book on the practicalities of hedging a portfolio of vanilla/exotic options, then get this book. On the other hand, if you want some basic options theory, or want to focus more in pricing, or need a basic introduction, look elsewhere (perhaps to Hull's or Wilmott's books).

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Dynamic Hedging is the definitive source on derivatives risk. It provides a real-world methodology for managing portfolios containing any nonlinear security. It presents risks from the vantage point of the option market maker and arbitrage operator. The only book about derivatives risk written by an experienced trader with theoretical training, it remolds option theory to fit the practitioner's environment. As a larger share of market exposure cannot be properly captured by mathematical models, noted option arbitrageur Nassim Taleb uniquely covers both on-model and off-model derivatives risks.
The author discusses, in plain English, vital issues, including:
The generalized option, which encompasses all instruments with convex payoff, including a trader's potential bonus.
The techniques for trading exotic options, including binary, barrier, multiasset, and Asian options, as well as methods to take into account the wrinkles of actual, non-bellshaped distributions.
Market dynamics viewed from the practitioner's vantage point, including liquidity holes, portfolio insurance, squeezes, fat tails, volatility surface, GARCH, curve evolution, static option replication, correlation instability, Pareto-Levy, regime shifts, autocorrelation of price changes, and the severe flaws in the value at risk method.
New tools to detect risks, such as higher moment analysis, topography exposure, and nonparametric techniques.
The path dependence of all options hedged dynamically.

Dynamic Hedging is replete with helpful tools, market anecdotes, at-a-glance risk management rules distilling years of market lore, and important definitions. The book contains modules in which the fundamental mathematics of derivatives, such as the Brownian motion, Ito's lemma, the numeraire paradox, the Girsanov change of measure, and the Feynman-Kac solution are presented in intuitive practitioner's language.
Dynamic Hedging is an indispensable and definitive reference for market makers, academics, finance students, risk managers, and regulators.
The definitive book on options trading and risk management
"If pricing is a science and hedging is an art, Taleb is a virtuoso." -Bruno Dupire, Head of Swaps and Options Research, Paribas Capital Markets
"This is not merely the best book on how options trade, it is the only book." -Stan Jonas, Managing Director, FIMAT-Society GARCH
"Dynamic Hedging bridges the gap between what the best traders know and what the best scholars can prove." -William Margrabe, President, The William Margrabe Group, Inc.
"The most comprehensive, insightful, intuitive work on the subject. It is instrumental for both beginning and experienced traders."-
"A tour de force. That rare find, a book of great practical and theoretical value. Taleb successfully bridges the gap between the academic and the real world. Interesting, provocative, well written. Each chapter worth a fortune to any current or prospective derivatives trader."-Victor Niederhoffer, Chairman, Niederhoffer Investments

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A Demon of Our Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation Review

A Demon of Our Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation
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In recounting his time as risk manager at a number of prominent houses (Morgan Stanley, Salomon Brothers, Citigroup etc.), Bookstaber completes the i-banking trifecta. First there was the Michael Lewis classic, Liar's Poker, detailing the juvenile bravado and macho antics of the trading floor. Then Jonathan Knee gave an intimate portrait of the i-banker deal making culture with The Accidental Investment Banker.
And now, in A Demon of Our Own Design, we get a glimpse at the risk management side of things... a sort of master plumber's walking tour through the bowels of the system, with technical descriptions of exactly what happens when pipes burst and boilers explode. (Some will find Bookstabers' level of detail intolerably dull; others will find it quite fascinating. I was in the fascinated camp.)
Nature of the beast
In describing the finer points of risk arbitrage, Bookstaber explains why it's normal -- expected even -- for trading desks to take a good whack every so often. The nature of the beast is to make relatively steady profits, month in and month out, and then give back a chunk of those profits when something goes haywire. (That's how you move huge sums on an arb desk; grind out small bets that are almost guaranteed to work, juice up the returns with leverage, and try not to be in the vicinity when the rare position goes kablooey.)
In light of this general modus operandi, perhaps it isn't surprising that the "quant" funds recently took a major hit (as of September 2007). They had been minting money for an extraordinarily long period, had the leverage to show for it, and now, after the recent "oops," seem to be generally back in business.
In fact it appears natural for much of Wall Street to work in this "make a little, lose a lot" fashion... the key idea being that all the little updrafts make up for the once-in-a-blue-moon downdrafts. (Such calculus works better for the fee collectors than the fee payers, but that's a different kettle of fish.)
Bookstaber's detail-rich description of the various trades that investment houses put on, many of them lasting years, is also enlightening. The details seem to confirm that, by and large, Wall Street is a gigantic, slow moving, conventional-returns type machine. (And what else could it be, really, with such an ocean of capital to allocate and so many jobs to fill? There is only so much creativity and contrarianism to go round.)
A dangerous combination
Risk manager war stories aside, Bookstaber's goal is to hammer home a key philosophical point regarding risk. He wants readers to understand that financial markets are inherently unstable, and this reality places limits on how far we (or anyone) should go in pursuit of outsized returns.
To make his point, Bookstaber uses various analogies to describe how the market is a highly complex, tightly coupled system... and to explain why the combination of high complexity and tight coupling is particularly dangerous.
The counterexample Bookstaber gives of a highly complex, loosely coupled system is the US Postal Service. The USPS has countless potential points of failure and myriad moving parts, but there are no catastrophic linkages involved. A lost package does not set off a disastrous daisy chain of events in which millions of packages are lost.
In contrast, the classic example of a highly complex, tightly coupled system is a nuclear reactor. The reactor is tightly coupled because any point of failure can lead to a knock-on chain reaction; one small thing going wrong can set the entire mechanism on a path to disaster. Being a highly complex, tightly coupled system, the market is less like the postal service and more like the nuclear reactor, in that the combination of aggressive leverage, complex methodologies and heavily interlocking parts leads to significant potential for catastrophe.
Exquisitely adapted
Another serious problem is Wall Street's deeply ingrained tendency to push the envelope. (Richard Lowenstein put it exceptionally well in his book Origins of the Crash: "Finance has its own Peter Principle, by which a successful model will be adapted to progressively riskier causes until it fails.")
In this habit of fighting for every inch of profit, Wall Street is like a self-evolving animal overquick to embrace the particulars of its immediate environment. The more precisely an animal is attuned to a particular "fitness landscape," the better that animal can thrive... in the short term at least, as long as everything stays just so. To be exquisitely adapted (as opposed to robustly adapted) is to be vulnerable to the slightest change.
Thus when the fitness landscape DOES change -- as it inevitably will -- the heavily specialized competitors tend to get crushed (if not go extinct). If a strategy-gone-sour broadsides a large enough group of market participants, the entire financial ecosystem can be thrown into turmoil. When the turmoil from this upheaval spills into the broader economy, wreaking havoc in its wake, the "demon" spoken of in the book's title is unleashed. (As this reviewer interprets it anyway.)
Wisdom of the cockroach
So the problem, in sum, is Wall Street's tendency to `overadapt' to every appealing landscape it encounters, building up complexity and leverage to dangerous levels in doing so.
Bookstaber's suggestion is to heed the wisdom of the cockroach.
The cockroach has survived a longer time span, and a wider variety of harsh environments, than humans could ever match. It is one of the creatures man cannot wipe out no matter how hard he tries. And yet, the cockroach's key risk management strategy is embarrassingly simple... simpler, even, than putting in a stop loss. The deeper point is that simple equals robust; by refusing to get fancy, and sticking with the tried-and-true, the cockroach ensures its reign as champion survivor.
Bookstaber uses the cockroach (and other examples from nature) to argue that we, too, should consider cutting back on our excessively specialized ways. The cost of a rough-edged strategy is forgoing excess profits in accomodative environments... but the benefit is increased likelihood of survival in a much wider range of environments, including the truly harsh ones. (As Jim Grant likes to joke, if so many of these credit-driven vehicles can barely handle prosperity, how are they supposed to fare when adversity hits?)
Harrumphs all round
Bookstaber's finger-wagging solution (be less fancy; take less risk) has the ring of common sense to it, especially in the way it frustrates all those market participants determined to have their cake and eat it too.
For those who seek to wring every last nickel out of the market (as LTCM used to brag of doing), Bookstaber argues persuasively that flying too close to the sun will always be perilous. The commitment to leveraging every edge on a broad scale inevitably leads to disaster-prone configurations, no matter how smart the players.
For those who think the answer is greater regulation of markets, i.e. more rules, Bookstaber shows how extra layers of bureaucracy can actually bring about the exact opposite of the intended affect. Perversely, layers of red tape can (and often do) make a situation more risky, by increasing confusion and complacency simultaneously.
Nor is greater information disclosure the answer. If the market's traditional liquidity providers (traders, market makers, speculators etc.) are forced to disclose their positions to the world in real time, they will react in the manner of poker players forced to play their hands face-up. To the extent that disclosure resolves uncertainty, it also drives market participants from the game. And because "liquidity is a coward" as the old saying goes, always running away when you need it most, strict disclosure rules would likely make bad market conditions worse at the least opportune times.
Some left smiling
Two groups in particular may be left smiling at the end of this book -- value investors and trend followers. In both the theory and practice of their normal operations, value investors and trend followers intuitively embraced Bookstaber's message a long long time ago, favoring longevity and robusticity over the temptations of adjusting to the moment.
It is perhaps not surprising, then, that value investors and trend followers are arguably the most profitable market participants by far on an absolute-dollar basis, hauling in hundreds of billions in profit over the course of many decades. They are champion survivors too... with a touch more class than the cockroach.


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The Trading Book: A Complete Solution to Mastering Technical Systems and Trading Psychology Review

The Trading Book: A Complete Solution to Mastering Technical Systems and Trading Psychology
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Having known Anne-Marie for years, I've always been fascinated by her strategy as it was very different from my own. During this time, I've witnessed her make successful trades over and over again, a testament to how much time and effort she put into developing her own independent style and self-sufficient strategy to conquer the increasingly hostile markets. "The Trading Book" is an easy to understand collection of valuable knowledge she has so graciously decided to share with the entire trading community. From covering technical indicators and fib integration and important trading psychology concepts, to giving real-life trading examples and samples from her trading journal and checklists, "The Trading Book" provides a holistic approach to trading for the beginner, intermediate, and advanced trader. Additionally, readers will benefit immediately from what Anne-Marie has to say about what the market truly is, filtering noise, the importance of timing, preparation, emotional control, risk management, various fears and uncertainties, positivity vs. negativity, maintaining discipline, practicing patience, setting stops, and other sub-categories that make up this holistic approach for the independent & intuitive successful trader. After finishing this read in just three days, I am confident that any trader will benefit from "The Trading Book". Two thumbs up + a bowl of plain noodles :)

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THE SMARTEST TRADES.THE HOTTEST MARKETS.THE ONLY BOOK YOU NEED.

You don't have to be a professional trader to win big in the stock market. That's what Anne-Marie Baiynd learned when she changed her career from neuroscience researcher to full-time momentum trader. Now, with her popular website and this brilliant new book, she teaches other traders how to master the market using her proven combination of analytics and psychology. The Trading Book shows you how to:
Master the power of technical trading
Increase profits using probabilities and pattern recognition
Focus on precision trading for consistent results
Discover the benefits of waves and fibs
Embrace the habits of highly effective traders

This one-of-a-kind guide goes beyond the numbers and statistics to show you the complex psychology behind the trades—from the greatest gains to the hardest losses. You'll discover how other traders deal with making counterintuitive decisions; how to use technical indicators to identify the momentum and direction of the markets; and how to achieve your long-term financial goals through discipline, dedication, and endurance.

Filled with insightful case studies, interviews, exercises, and guidelines for keeping a personal trading journal, this is more than a crash course for beginners or an industry guide for experts. This is the book on trading.

Praise for The Trading Book:

"Anne-Marie is an amazing trader who loves to share ideas. She knows it makes her smarter and so sharing is not really giving away anything. Anne Marie can explain complex trading ideas in a digestible manner, and any level of trader or investor will benefit from this book."—Howard Lindzon, cofounder and CEO of StockTwits and author of The StockTwits Edge

"The Trading Book does an outstanding job of offering step-by step explanations of trading strategies and methods. Anyone looking for a clear path to profits in the markets will find the pre-trade checklist especially helpful for staying disciplined during the trading day. The lessons on reading stock charts are some of the best I've seen and worth reading multiple times."—Tim Bourquin, Traderinterviews.com

"This excellent book balances trading wisdom, psychology, common sense, and valuable strategies that you can put to work immediately. I think that the ‘woman's perspective' really adds something that most trading books are missing. Read this book; trust me!"—Brian Shannon, author of Technical Analysis Using Multiple Timeframes and President of Alphatrends.net


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Trading in the Zone: Master the Market with Confidence, Discipline and a Winning Attitude Review

Trading in the Zone: Master the Market with Confidence, Discipline and a Winning Attitude
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If you are like most people, after your first few losing trades you set about to learn better market analysis. After your next string of losers you learned about risk management. But there's still one more challenge to conquer; yourself.
     That is the major premise of this book. If it sounds like wishy-washy psycho-babble to you, I'll only say that I would have agreed -- four months ago, before I quit my 20-year technology career, obtained a Series/7 license and joined a professional day-trading firm. I now believe most people would lose money if you gave them 50/50 odds on whether or not it was going to rain tomorrow.
     In other words, successfully forecasting the market is not enough. Why not? Well, this book explains why not. It has to do with one's sense of self-worth, one's moral judgment of money, one's work-ethic, one's tendency to focus on good news while ignoring bad, and other things.
     "Zone" was recommended to a friend of mine by a professional floor trader who told him, "I wish I had read it before starting two years ago. Don't place another trade until you do." Well said. Does this apply to investors as well as traders? Oh, absolutely! If you have ever said to yourself, "I'm not selling that stock while it's down, I'll wait until I have a profit in it," then for the love of money, read this book.
     Finally, read "Zone" before Douglas' earlier work. If you still want more then read "Disciplined Trader" for a general review plus a deeper exploration into the author's philosophical and meta-physical theories.

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