Showing posts with label investment books. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investment books. Show all posts

Leo Melamed: Escape to the Futures Review

Leo Melamed: Escape to the Futures
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Commodity Futures have been called "The Last Great Frontier of Capitalism". A characteristic of frontiers is that they produce interesting people. But while we know a good deal about the interesting people in other industries - Bill Gates in software, for example, or Peter Drucker in management consulting - until recently the public has heard little of the human side of the futures business.
A few years ago a remarkable book was published by the options trader Jack Ritchie called God in the Pits - Confessions of a Commodities Trader. The book had much to say about author's spiritual journey and little about the financial markets in Chicago, but he described his motivation for writing the book as follows: "...the common stereotype is that integrity and commodities trading go together like Al Capone and Mother Teresa. While they are seldom accurate, neither are common sterotypes completely erroneous".
Escape to the Futures goes a long way towards dispelling that stereotype, and therefore is a most overdue book. It is the memoirs of Leo Melamed, a former Chairman of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (known in the commodities world as simply "the Merc") and one of the more important figures in the Chicago financial markets. As well as being better known than Ritchie, Melamed has more to say about his industry. One comes away from the book with an impression of the heroic qualities of the markets as well as an appreciation for the pioneering men who made this new frontier possible. The book's title refers to Melamed's origins. Like that other well known investment figure, George Soros, Melamed is of European Jewish extraction - he was born in Poland. His family managed to escape the Holocaust by fleeing, first to Lithuania, then, barely escaping the Nazi occupation of that country, emigrating to the United States via Japan (pre Pearl Harbour) after a long train ride across the Soviet Union. The twists and turns of this exciting story hints at the origins of Melamed's succ! ess. As Soros has said, describing his experience in the Budapest of 1944: "I learned the art of survival...that has had a certain relevance to my investment career"
Like many careers prior to the arrival of post-industrial society, Melamed's began by accident - he answered an advertisement for a "runner" for what he presumed was a law firm but was in fact a member firm of the Merc. He quickly fell in love with the market: " I was enthralled with the open outcry system of buying and selling contracts, with the speed at which things happened, with the colorful players in this arena of capitalistic hope and sweat." (p.88). This appreciation of what Keynes called the "animal spirits" of capitalism seems to be decidedly lacking these days. In the 1990s, if one want's to be a "player" in the financial markets, the correct route seems to be via a bachelor's degree in business followed by some high-priced graduate study, an MBA or something. Contrast this with the advice the young Jimmy Rogers got in the 1960s: "Go short some beans and you'll learn more in just one trade than you would in two years at `B-School.' "
Now, reading Escape to the Futures will not give you many trading "tips". Great traders are not going to give away their secrets like that. What it will give you an insight into is how an industry gets built. Melamend himself illustrates the phenomenal growth of the futures business in his preface to the book: "In 1971...14.6 million contracts traded on US futures exchanges. Twenty years later, in 1991, the total transactions of futures and options on US futures exchanges was 325 million contracts." How did it happen? Your average B-School guy would attribute the growth to the US dollar de-valuations of 1971 and 1973, to the commodity price booms of the 1970s, and the financial de-regulations of the 1980s. What he is missing is the role played by men like Melamed who had a vision about what they wanted to achieve with thei! r organisations. Reading his book one is struck by how his working days were more those of a politician rather than a trader.
But I use the word politician to mean "statesman", or "leader". One characteristic of such men is vision. Look, for example, at the Merc's International Monetary Market, the futures market for currencies: "Of one thing I was certain by the mid-1970s: agriculture was never going to be the future. But finance was. If the Chicago Mercentile Exchange had any future, it was on the back of the International Monetary Market. But that was something I couldn't prove in 1975 because the currencies and financial futures still had a long way to go. One had to believe" (p. 242).
One of the downsides of financial statesmanship is that you don't get to concentrate as much on making money yourself. For instance, Melamed would show delegations of visitors to the Merc how a trade was executed, but the trade lose money! It is no surprise to learn, at the end of the book, that Melamed is now concentrating more of his efforts these days on building up his own firm, Sakura Dellsher.
In Melamed we get a picture of a man who allied vision with an ability to persuade people of the virtue of his ideas, who knew how to cultivate relationships with people, and who knew how to effectively use his time and resources to achieve his organisation's goals. I commend this book to everyone interested in capitalism as people and not as abstract concepts as taught in the textbooks. Like another great book written by a trader but not about trading - Bernard Baruch's My Own Story - you will get an idea of how one man made things happen..

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Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques, Second Edition Review

Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques, Second Edition
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I have a few books on candlesticks. I bought others which were cheaper, even though many reviews pointed towards Nisons' work. Note that in Australia, we are talking about $35 (other books) compared to $150 (Nison's book) ... so anyway, after buying many others, and looking all over the 'net for info. on Candlesticks, I ran into Nisons' book in a shop, looked through it and had to have it.
It has a LOT LOT LOT more depth than the others. There is more to candlesticks (or any price movement analysis) than just a bunch of patterns, names, formations ... the other books are far far too brief. I cannot emphasise this enough.
Look at all the other reviews for this book, many many good words said.
It is very readable, very clear, the examples are excellent, but most valuable are the insights for all the patterns ... that other books simply do not have.
Sure, it costs a bit more than the other candlestick books, but hey, how much money are you trading? Does an extra 30 or 50 bucks make that much difference for the extra insight you will gain?
This is not just the best ~Candlestick~ book, but it is a very very good TA book as well. Candlesticks are, after all, just a way of plotting price movements.
Note that, in searching the web for info. on TA and investing, this book came up time and time again as ~highly~ recommended. Now I pass that recommendation on.
Note also Nison has another book, "Beyond Candlesticks", and while I think that this is also a good book, get this one first and learn it all, the second book concentrates more on a few "Advanced" techniques, I don't know if they are so much advanced as they are just a few more techniques + brushing over what is in the first book. Get this first book, because it has more depth on the essentials that you need to know. Get the other book later, don't try and save money by jumping to the second one in the hope it will make the first obsolete, don't try and save money by getting a cheaper candlestick book, don't brush this stuff off thinking you've learnt all the candlestick stuff just by seeing a couple of patterns and names.
I also highly recommend Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, this is recently updated and so incredibly good.
Beginner trader: will help you a lot, a very good investment, but also look to the book recommended above.
Intermediate: what are you doing? making a profit? get the book. Not making a profit? get the book, or get out of trading.
Advanced: why don't you have it? it should be on everyone's bookshelf, have you no pride? can't you afford it?
This is one of those trading books you cannot afford not to have. I don't give that rating to many other trading books.
Good luck!
Oh, and it is enjoyable to read.

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Better Stock Trading: Money and Risk Management Review

Better Stock Trading: Money and Risk Management
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The book really starts out examining how risk management can affect a system with positive expectations. The main point he is making is that your average profit should be greater than average loss, which is true enough. Unfortunately, there is an implied assumption in this section that suggests you can change the stop without impacting the probabilities of success -- i've found this not to be true in my own trading. I would certainly liked to have seen some mention of this in the book, but that's a bit of a nitpick to be quite honest.
In the book, Mr. Guppy uses the 2% risk model Elder uses. However, there are bits missing. For example, he has no real way of limiting risk. He has a model whereby through diversification and position limits, he will limit outstanding risk to 20%. However, from my brief reading of the book (I plan to go over it more thoroughly later), there is nothing stopping you from entering another 20% worth of positions, and another 20%. Stopping your entire portfolio out several times. Sure, I hear you say, this could never happen to a top trader -- however, if it happened to Steve Walton , I suspect it can happen to you.
Overall, I think this is an excellent book, and I learned quite a bit from it. Mr. Guppy's writing style may not be quite as polished as some writers, but I think it's still quite good. If you are a position trader, i'd highly recommend this book -- if you opt for the swing or daytrading timeframes, I think you might be better off with Elder or Tharp -- although it certainly does no harm to study all of these authors, as they each have a lot of really good things to say about this topic. I think this book may indeed be destined to be in fine company, alongside Elder and Tharp. This work is much stronger and generally more useful than his earlier work, Market Trading Tactics.

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An in-depth examination of money management methods for consistent trading successIn Better Stock Trading, Daryl Guppy shows readers how to improve returns by using good money management technique???not by increasing risk in trying to win more trades. Readers will learn how to level the market playing field by using the best money management strategies for their particular account size. From the straightforward two percent rule, to pyramiding methods, and overall portfolio management, Guppy presents a selection of strategies, which will allow any independent trader to capitalize on a rising market and protect funds when the bear takes over. He also shows readers how to study their own trading history and use this information to improve their trading future. Trading skill counts, but money management gives independent traders the edge. Daryl Guppy (Australia) is an experienced and highly successful private trader. A member of IFTA and the Australian Technical Analyst's Association, he is a popular speaker at international trading seminars in Australia and the Asia Pacific region. He is the author of five highly successful trading titles, including Market Trading Tactics (0-471-84663-5), and is the Editorial Director of The Investors' International Bookshelf.

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Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications (New York Institute of Finance) Review

Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications (New York Institute of Finance)
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It is entirely possible to spend more time reading trading books than doing any actual trading. This is one of the few books that will remain on my bookshelf and I highly recommend it FOR WHAT IT IS INTENDED - an excellent reference on technical analysis (TA).
What I was looking for was something to provide clear, concise descriptions on various technical indicators across all types - trend analysis, price patterns, candles, oscillators, etc. And Murphy not only does this well, but his work provides enough information that I do not see the need for another book on TA on my bookshelf, even though I know that other very good books are available (e.g. Pring). But this one is enough for me. It is well organized and indexed so that I can rapidly look up something while I am setting up trades and get the basic info that I need.
One surprise was how well written the book was and how much I enjoyed reading it. I expected a dry reference book but instead found an excellent and engaging read, perhaps with the exception of the chapter on point and figure which was not up to the rest of the book. (If you are completely new to TA, you might find it less entertaining, but in comparison to the dry tome that I expected when the monster-sized book arrived, Murphy is remarkable in his ability to convert most TA topics and examples into 'normal' English.) He also is not a proponent or zealot about any one indicator type, which I appreciate. He does a good job of describing each within the context of its value without trying to convert anyone to any specific indicator. As I do not believe in magic bullets in trading, I appreciate his straightforward approach.
Let me also note what this book is NOT so that you do not buy it for the wrong reasons:
a)As you should gather from the above, this is not a trading system. Murphy will not tell you which indicators to use most or in which combinations to produce the best results. He will provide insight into many indicators and classes of indicators but he is NOT trying to convince you to use any specific indicator in any specific way. So he doesn't try to convince you of WHAT to use, just helps you understand WHEN, WHY and HOW each indicator type is used by various traders.
b)Also, this is NOT intended to be the complete, in depth statement on any of the topics covered. For example, his section on Candlestick formations is simple, clear and includes many examples, but it is undoubtedly not the same as picking up Nison's works on Candlesticks. Similarly, you can find many books dedicated to Elliot Waves, Fibonaccis and other topics. Murphy provides the basics, but do not expect as thorough an explanation or justification as a dedicated book would provide. Then again, expect a dedicated book to try and convince you why its particular system or method is so much better than any other, something that Murphey will not try to do to you!
c)Finally, this book is NOT intended to convert people who do not accept TA into believers. Frankly, it is much easier to get most people to accept that `fundamental analysis' affects a stock's value and price, but it is harder for most to understand and accept that simply analyzing the stock's price and related indicators can predict future moves. Murphy's opening chapters include some simple basic background on TA, but verbal explanations have limited value in convincing a pure `fundamentalist' that properly used technical analysis works. The only way to break down this barrier, IMO, is simply to learn and use various indicators for a while to begin seeing how predictive they can be. Murphy does not try to convert - he simply provides a learning reference. From there, anyone using TA needs to practice to become proficient.
So, in summary, I highly recommend buying this book for what it is intended to be - a reference book on technical analysis. It does this job excellently.


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For both beginnners and experienced traders, this work describes the concepts of technical analysis and their applications. Murphy interprets the role of the technical forecasters and explains how they apply their techniques to the financial markets.

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Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management Review

Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management
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If somebody bought, read and judged the book by whether it could really help him or her to go "trading for a living", that somebody would definitely be disappointed. Even the author himself pointed out that the success rate for the conversion of ex institutional traders to independent traders was very low owing to the much higher psychological load of trading one's own money than that of trading OPM.
Despite the over-promise of the book title and the second half of it discussing mostly technical tools, the book is quite well written. There are plenty of bright ideas, some with originality that can be attributed to the author's M.D. and psychiatrist background. In particular I like the following points much:-
- That trading is a minus sum game (considering commission and slippage) and the mass media or gurus or prevalent market view are almost always wrong.
- The analogy of the market as an ocean and a huge crowd of people, in either case an individual can have no control of but have to follow (or leave) emotionlessly for long term profit.
- The analogy of Alcoholic Anonymous with Loser Anonymous that requires the same treatment for true recovery, whereas accepting oneself as an alcoholic or a loser is the very first step of healing.
- The need for discipline and patience as individual traders' only weapon to against institutional traders advantages in faster information, better research reports, lower psychological burden for trading OPM, etc
- Price is a psychological event, a momentary balance of opinion between bulls and bears, its pattern reflects the mass psychology of the market.
- Last but not least, the opening prices are determined primarily by amateurs whilst the closing prices are determined by professionals.
In short, the book is well worth the price and I do recommend it to those who study continuously for self improvement in their trading. Remarks:- The author claimed that he personally did so, too.

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Trading for a Living Successful trading is based on three M's: Mind, Method, and Money. Trading for a Living helps you master all of those three areas:* How to become a cool, calm, and collected trader* How to profit from reading the behavior of the market crowd* How to use a computer to find good trades* How to develop a powerful trading system* How to find the trades with the best odds of success* How to find entry and exit points, set stops, and take profitsTrading for a Living helps you discipline your Mind, shows you the Methods for trading the markets, and shows you how to manage Money in your trading accounts so that no string of losses can kick you out of the game. To help you profit even more from the ideas in Trading for a Living, look for the companion volume--Study Guide for Trading for a Living. It asks over 200 multiple-choice questions, with answers and 11 rating scales for sharpening your trading skills. For example: Question Markets rise when* there are more buyers than sellers* buyers are more aggressive than sellers* sellers are afraid and demand a premium* more shares or contracts are bought than sold* I and II* II and III* II and IV* III and IVAnswer B. II and III. Every change in price reflects what happens in the battle between bulls and bears. Markets rise when bulls feel more strongly than bears. They rally when buyers are confident and sellers demand a premium for participating in the game that is going against them. There is a buyer and a seller behind every transaction. The number of stocks or futures bought and sold is equal by definition.

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Strategies for the Electronic Futures Trader Review

Strategies for the Electronic Futures Trader
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This book looks just like a compilation of the "author's" position trading books but with editing to put in the words "day trading" where "position trading" used to be. There's no other difference. The only potentially useful info to a newbie was about monitoring the first 30 minutes to try to determine the direction of the day. However, everyone has been doing that for years and most websites suggest it, without charging. Who doesn't know what an oscillator divergence is? That's not a system and while a valid indicator for some trading styles, is certainly not unique to day trading. Mr. Bernstein was reportedly run off tv with his infomercials that made claims the government stated he couldn't back up. Put his name in a search engine to see what others say about him. If you want to get your money's worth, read whatever Larry Williams' latest book is. He'll show you his brokerage records, Mr. Bernstein won't. 'Nuff said.

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Breakthrough strategies for trading futures--on-line! Futures traders are leaving the pits and phones behind to trade on-line. In The Electronic Futures Trader, legendary trader and author Jake Bernstein reveals the winning strategies and techniques traders will need to bolster their trading fortunes--via the new and efficient electronictrading systems. Bernstein introduces a wide range of trading strategies designed especially for electronically trading the futures markets. Covering everything from beans and cattle to currencies, bonds, and stock indices, he discusses: nine new trading systems expalined in step-by-step detail; techniques for breakout, trendfollowing, and market pattern systems; the role of artificial intelligence and neural networks in electronic trading's future.

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The Nasdaq Trader's Toolkit Review

The Nasdaq Trader's Toolkit
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This is the hardcopy version of the excellent e-book the "Tools of the Trade." Everything you need to know about execution. Including SuperSoes, SelectNet, Soes, all ECN's. It is the best reference manual I've ever seen. Don't know why they decided to publish in paper.,. Author is former market maker, used to head MB Tradings' trade desk. You can see him at all the trade expos -gives talks about execution. Knows his stuff. Wish I had the book when I started trading direct! Would have saved some of lo$$e$ :)

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Nothing has changed the markets more in the last few years than the advent of direct access, the combination of NASDAQ Level II quotes and direct order routing which together enable savvy traders to "hit" bids and offers and go up against the market makers. But just having access to these tools is not enough. Knowing how to use the tools-quickly and expertly-is key. In The NASDAQ Trader's Toolkit, a former market maker reveals the secrets of NASDAQ trading systems.

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Stock Trader's Almanac 2006 Review

Stock Trader's Almanac 2006
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As someone who maintains two free trading websites that attract a reasonable amount of traffic, I am regularly asked to review (read: promote) various trading services, software programs, books, and other products. The vast majority of these requests I decline. Almost everything I review is something that I have used or currently use myself and have found helpful to my own trading. In this review, I will bundle two related books: Stock Trader's Almanac 2006 by Yale and Jeffrey A. Hirsch and The Almanac Investor by Jeffrey A. Hirsch and J. Taylor Brown. Although there is inevitable overlap between these volumes, they meet different needs.
I am a short-term trader by design-my holding periods average minutes, not days or weeks-so the information found in the Stock Trader's Almanac is most helpful to me as context. The Almanac is a spiral-bound book that is designed as a desktop companion for traders. Much of it consists of a calendar annotated with historical trading tendencies for that day, major holidays and market-moving events, and thought-provoking quotes. A typical notation in the calendar, for example, reads, "Week After Triple Witching Dow Up 11 of Last 14". Next to days that have significant historical directional tendencies, there is a picture of a bull or bear. That is the kind of context that is helpful to a short-term trader.
Where the Almanac shines, however, is in its pattern-based research. Among the broader patterns described in the book are market tendencies following bullish and bearish Januaries; best performing months in the market; best performing days of the week; and best performing months of quarters. Such information is useful context to longer-term investors as well as traders. Literally dozens of seasonal patterns are detailed in the book. It's a true research accomplishment.
This brings us to The Almanac Investor. It's a larger book, subtitled "Profit from Market History and Seasonal Trends". The first part of the book is organized month by month, reviewing the seasonal and historical patterns associated with that month's trading. As such, it is an organized review of the major findings of the Almanac. The next segment of The Almanac Investor is arranged by time frame and details trading patterns that range from half-hourly to weekly, monthly, annual, and beyond. A fascinating section revisits George Lindsay's "Three Peaks and a Domed House" pattern-something probably unknown to many newer traders who never experienced Lindsay's pioneering work. (For the record, his observations on "separating declines" and "middle sections" of moves might be more valuable than his more eye-catching peaks and dome pattern).
The next section of the book is where it really shines. There is a detailed accounting of the seasonal patterns associated with various market sectors, using long-term historical data with sector indices to establish the tendencies. For instance, The Almanac Investor tells us that the banking sector tends to be strong from October through June, but natural gas issues trade well from February to June. From these data, seasonal trading strategies with sector-based portfolios can be constructed. A very useful compilation of all available exchange-traded funds (ETFs), along with their price histories and major holdings, is designed to help readers implement such portfolios.
If I had to put it in a nutshell, I'd say that the Stock Trader's Almanac is a day-to-day desktop tool for staying on top of daily and larger market patterns; The Almanac Investor is a tool for trading those historical and seasonal tendencies. Both are clearly organized and well-written. My only caveat is that the analyses do not include actual statistical tests of significance, which is understandable given that they are not academic treatises. If you set alpha (the probability of chance occurrence below which you're willing to say a finding is significant) at .05 and then run analyses on every day, month, season, and year, you're bound to identify a number of tendencies that occur by chance alone. For that reason, I would not trade any of these patterns mechanically. I do, however, focus on the most robust patterns and utilize them as context for trade ideas. That alone makes both volumes highly worthwhile.


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This time-tested guide to stock trading, published every year since, 1968, is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in a calendar format. You'll learn about little-known market patterns and tendencies that will help you forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence. The data in the Almanac is some of the cleanest in the business, and its analyses are relied upon by savvy professionals, from well-know money managers to journalists. As always, the Almanac encapsulates all the historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and alerts users to seasonal opportunities and dangers. In addition, this mid-term election edition focuses heavily on the presidential election cycle and tendencies often resulting in major market moves.
"Information is key to successful investing and investors will find the Almanac a chock-a-block source of need-to-know stuff." -- Steve Forbes, CEO and Editor in Chief, Forbes

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Stock Trader's Almanac 2007: Deutsche Ausgabe Review

Stock Trader's Almanac 2007: Deutsche Ausgabe
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The average investor probably believes that stock prices are a "random walk" and that no one can benefit from analyzing stock market price history. These investors would be "wrong" as is the case with most of the conventional wisdom on Wall Street. The stock market exhibits many recurrent calendar-based patterns that intelligent investors can use to enhance their personal investment results while decreasing risk.
This calendar/organizer/planner is in its 40th edition and the authors have done a masterful job of presenting the information in a useful and easy-to-understand manner. They've provided investors with a complete historical perspective on daily, weekly, monthly, and annual stock market patterns and strategies.
There is particularly useful data on how to take advantage of the presidential four-year cycles, the best six months strategy for the DJIA and S&P500, the best eight-month strategy for the NASDAQ Composite, and the strongest and weakest months of the year.
Traders, as well as short-term and long-term investors will all benefit from the insights provided in this "gem" of an investment almanac. Traders, in particular, can benefit from the many daily and holiday, and seasonal market patterns occur with a high frequency. Every person who invests in the stock market, without taking into account the vital information in this almanac, should not complain about his or her poor performance.
Also included in this almanac are extensive statistics (point moves and percentage moves) on the DJIA by year and month going back at least 50 years. In addition there is information on the 10 best and worst days by percent and points for the DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000. Moreover, this data is then replicated for the 10 best and worst weeks, months and years for these same indexes going back to their inception.
In summary, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a masterpiece of stock market history that keeps getting better every year. It is an indispensable guide to successful investing. I highly recommend it to all investors and traders.


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Turn to Stock Trader's Almanac 2009, the indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors. This practical investment tool includes historical patterns and little-known market trends and tendencies to help market participants forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence. Savvy professionals like money managers and journalists use this guide, which encapsulates the historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and alerts you to seasonal opportunities and dangers so that you can avoid making costly mistakes.--This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

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The Mind of a Trader: Lessons in Trading Strategy from the World's Leading Traders Review

The Mind of a Trader: Lessons in Trading Strategy from the World's Leading Traders
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This book should be called "The Basic Tips of a Trader" because there's almost nothing about the psychology behind their trading tactics nor a psychological insight into what makes the markets behave as they do. Supposing that the word "Mind" in the title isn't meant to be taken too literally then one may still find the tips somewhat superficial. If you're a novice to trading then you might be interested to hear comments like "take your losses like a man" or "pick a trading style suited to your personality", but if you are a novice then you probably don't want to be confused or bored by drawn out messages. The essence of this book is worth a chapter in a good general book on trading but wasn't worth the time sifting the mostly common-knowledge or common-sense tips from a well padded book.
I am surprised that this book has so many excellent customer reviews (ignoring those of the big traders themselves). The title may sound interesting and useful but I found nothing profound or enlightening. A few of the tips can be applied to generally being successful at anything, not only trading. It would be useful to know the psychology behind the market-makers and big traders but if this book expresses all that they think then be assured that most semi-intelligent people with a fair education have little to learn from this book. As one trader said, you don't fight the markets, i.e. go with the flow. Useful. They may have a knack for making money but this is probably more to do with intuition than anything they have been able to consciously identify and translate into words that may be of some use to us mortals.
Patel's later book, "Net-Trading", covers many of the more interesting points of this book in a book which is worth a read for beginners or those wanting to use the Internet as an info source and need good pointers through the proliferation of cyber-confusion. He puts the best points from "The Mind of a Trader" into better context and without the padding.
Nice idea for a book for traders, but in my opinion it doesn't hit the spot.

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The Mind of a Trader will explore the trading philosophies, behaviors and tactics of the world's top traders, identifying successful strategies and winning ways in the markets.

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Stock Trader's Almanac 2008 (Almanac Investor Series) Review

Stock Trader's Almanac 2008 (Almanac Investor Series)
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Amazon says this book is hardcover and it is. If you read carefully, it also says, "Publisher: Wiley; Spi edition (October 5, 2007)". I was pleasantly surprised to see that it is spiral bound within the hardcover; this is extremely useful because the hardcover book can lie flat on a table.
This book is a must-have for any active trader so you know what is going on during that time of the year. I mean seriously, it's only $25 and it's chump change compared to the amount in commissions you blow each month.
I was initially very excited about reading the book, but as time went on, I realized that the book mostly contains info-porn. You need to remember that most of what this book contains are averages of what happened in the past. Does it really help me to know that the authors believe that the probability that the S&P 500 will rise on January 22, 2008 is 38.1%? Nope, not really. The only thing it tells me is that I should probably hold my short positions for one more day just because this day has historically been weak. However, given that much of the recent market action has primarily been data driven (weakening economy, massive losses at banks, etc.), this information is of very little use.
There are, however, some things that are very relevant for 2008. In particular, the December low indicator (page 40) is extremely relevant because we just took out the December low.
UPDATE on July 24th: If I could figure out how to change the number of stars on this book's rating, I'd give it a one. You could probably make more money by flipping a coin rather than listening to this book.

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The Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool that has helped traders and investors forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence for over 40 years. Organized in an easy-to-access calendar format, the 2008 Edition contains historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and alerts users to seasonal opportunities and dangers. For its wealth of information and authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing."Jeff Hirsch is following in the great tradition of his father, Yale Hirsch, with this nonpareil almanac of Wall Street data. It's a treasure for investors who want to remember the past as they plan for the future."-Louis Rukeyser, late founding host, Wall $treet Week"Information is key to successful investing and investors will find the Almanac a chock-a-block source of need-to-know stuff."-Steve Forbes, President, CEO, and Editor in Chief, Forbes"I have every issue since 1976 in my bookcase. The Stock Trader's Almanac is an invaluable resource."-Marty Zweig, author, Martin Zweig's Winning on Wall Street"The Stock Trader's Almanac should be on every investor's desk. It's an invaluable source of investment advice, trading patterns, and Wall Street lore. It's also fun to read. I refer to it frequently throughout the year."-Myron Kandel, founding financial editor, CNN

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