Showing posts with label richard dennis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label richard dennis. Show all posts

Trend Following (Updated Edition): Learn to Make Millions in Up or Down Markets Review

Trend Following (Updated Edition): Learn to Make Millions in Up or Down Markets
Average Reviews:

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I believe the positive review on this book are questionable. It was a huge waste of my time. The book has information about trend followers, who they are, why the do it, why they prefer following price over fundamentals, etc. I believe all that. It also talk about the fact trend follows have risk management systems, why they are important, but doesn't say what those systems are. Nor does it explain how to be a trend follower, what to look for, how to create a system, what risk management looks like. Its 200+ pages that says a lot of nothing. Sure, there are people that follow trends and make huge money doing it. But it does not say how to be a trend follower, or how the average person can buy commodities, FX, futures etc, the markets trend followers use. I hate books that promote stuff, but then don't actually tell you anything or how to do it. It does suggest that stocks are the hardest asset class to be a trend follower, but then an appendix had an interesting study that supported trend following in stocks. So who knows. But don't promote trend following if you're not going to then at least suggest resources of how the regular investor (the person this book is directed towards) can buy commodities, fx or futures and be a trend follower
If you're looking for strategies about trend following, when to buy or sell, which type of strategies to follow, which strategies successful trend follower use, don't buy this book. It does not disclose anything about trend following systems. I'll summerize...trend following exists, some people make huge money doing it, they view the world this way. That's it.
I firmly believe that this book is highly ranked because the author is a successful and smart marketing individual. He knows how to promote a product, but does not deliver on the value proposition that product offered. Not surprisingly, he also offers expensive on-line programs and class on trend following, a website, and even has an upcoming self-produced documentary. Its a full-court press to sell the idea of trend following, but does not share how. I suspect, hedge funds or CTAs buy this book and give it to clients because its marketing fluff that validates what they do, without saying how they do it. But that it does not make it a valuable book.
Admittely, I'm always skeptical of authors that write about investing. They are making money by selling books not by investing. For more interesting books written by authors that discuss investor, Jack Swagger's New Market Wizards at least provides more insight into the strategies successful investors follow. So too does the "little black book series".
Ironically, I am a trend following. Its something I believe does work for certain individuals. I was hoping to learn more about the strategies of rock-star trend followers, or ideas to help refine my investment approach or strategy. But this had zero information on the actually strategies, process, models, or even how to create a model.

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Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders Review

Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders
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Curtis Faith's Way of the Turtle is a significant contribution to the trading literature. As other reviewers have noted, it works on several levels: It is an engagingly written first-person narrative of one of the most interesting experiments in trading, but it is also a thoughtful presentation of the various ingredients of trading success.
Faith spells out the Turtle trading method in detail, providing a template for a more general approach known as trend following. Most helpful is the way he breaks down the method into components: entry criteria, criteria for adding to positions, position sizing, stops, and exits. A particularly interesting chapter draws upon his Trading Blox software to update trend following research and illustrate the results of several systems in recent markets.
If I had to identify a single theme for the book, it might be this: Relatively simple trading systems can provide a tradable edge, but it is psychologically difficult for traders to follow these systems and exploit that edge. Faith illustrates this with the variability in the results among the Turtle trainees (despite the fact that all of them were given the same system rules). He also provides a detailed accounting of the psychological biases that make it difficult to follow systems that ride relatively few big winning trades for an overall positive expectancy.
Among the gems provided by Way of the Trader is a discussion of stop loss criteria and surprising research about what works and doesn't; a concluding chapter that lays out the Turtle rules in manual form, along with execution tactics; and an insightful presentation of the reasons most traders do not succeed in trading. Faith questions both discretionary trading--trading without systematically testing one's trading ideas--and the notion that trading systems eliminate emotions from trading. He makes it very clear that traders need an objective edge in the marketplace *and* the psychological fortitude to ride out inevitable drawdowns on route to exploiting that edge.
I don't think it's necessary that one be a dedicated trend follower to greatly benefit from this book. Besides being a fun and interesting read, it is an excellent introduction to the various components of trading methods and how they impact outcomes. It is also a first-rate integration of the psychology and techniques of trading. Perhaps most important of all, Way of the Turtle is an illuminating presentation of risk management and consistency, two major contributors to market success.
There are no glaring weaknesses to the book that I can detect. Personally, I would have enjoyed a discussion of the pros and cons of trend following at shorter time frames. I also would have liked a discussion of the capital required to properly implement the Turtle approach, given that success derives from holding a diversified portfolio. Those, however, are small quibbles when compared to the book's strengths. The author's chapter elaborating the Turtle method as a life philosophy is, by itself, worth the price of the text.
In short, Curtis Faith has written the definitive book on the Turtle experience and way of trading. It's hard to imagine anyone reading this book and not coming away from the experience impressed with the blend of research and psychological strength that goes into trading success.

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