Showing posts with label a-great. Show all posts
Showing posts with label a-great. Show all posts

A Fool and His Money: The Odyssey of an Average Investor (Wiley Investment Classics) Review

A Fool and His Money: The Odyssey of an Average Investor (Wiley Investment Classics)
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Mr. Rothschild did something in this book that you should never do. He took a year off to learn how to invest, and looked into every financial category available. As a result, he was soon inundated with advice that he often followed. Usually, he didn't understand the risks of what he was doing, and he almost always ended up making costly and unnecessary mistakes. You will find this book a funny cautionary tale about the relevance of keeping it simple and focusing on what's important.
The book is filled with short bits of advice that give you a flavor for its content.
"Never buy the June call nor sell the October put simultaneously, unless you know what they are." This is a reference to a strategy for making money in very volatile stocks. The stock he used was not volatile enough, and he lost on the position.
"'Expert' advice does not agree." So who can you believe?
Mr. Rothchild's downfall was that he is an obviously intelligent, curious person who was too good at finding sources of information. Along the way, he met more different investment brokers, security analysts, professional portfolio managers, market makers, commodity traders, and options experts than you can shake a stick at. Although no one held his hand into a fire, he often tried out an idea that he heard about along the way. The salespeople were all trained to let the investor do whatever he wanted, so he was able to get himself into deep water in the process of trying these things. Someone should have pointed out that he could have learned the same lessons by simply taking a theoretical position on paper, and tracking the results.
One hilarious sequence has him changing hotels during a vacation to avoid the margin calls that came every few hours. He didn't want his wife to find out that he had raided the household funds to float the first margin call. He could not meet the second one.
All the time this is going on, he has been telling his wife and friends how well he is doing. That was technically true for awhile, but did not last long.
Soon, his losses are so large that he was embarrassed to let anyone know. "The larger the sum you've lost, the smaller the sums you'll worry about." So he became incredibly stingy in every other part of his life.
Meanwhile, his wife's account was doing very well with being handled by a stock broker that Mr. Rothchild decided not to use. This made him feel even worse.
Then, the crash in October 1987 happened, and his wife's money was slashed, too. It was a tough year for the Rothchild family, all the way around.
After reading this book, you'll be ready for John Bogle and his Common Sense about Mutual Funds. With this information, you can match the market inexpensively, spend little time on investing, and have limited risk of taking a large, permanent loss. Sleeping well is the best revenge.
After you read this book, consider your own psychology. How good are you at making rational decisions in an area where the value of what you buy can go up and down wildly? Are you likely to be attracted to the overly complicated parts of investing? Are you good at containing risk? Mr. Rothchild's intelligence and access did him more harm than good. How can you apply his experience profitably to your own situation?
Protect your capital against losses for the best results!

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Inside the House of Money: Top Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting in the Global Markets Review

Inside the House of Money: Top Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting in the Global Markets
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While working on the book Steven, the author, learned and shares with the reader through a series of interviews, "how the best minds in the business think about risk, portfolio construction, history, politics, central bankers, globalization, trading, competition, investors, hiring, the evolution of the hedge fund business and a variety of other details."
The book provides an inside look at the thoughts and actions of many great financial minds. For example did you know that Maynard Keynes (the father of modern macroeconomic theory) was completely wiped out by a margin call during the commodity slump of 1929 or that George Soros's Quantum Fund averaged over 30% for it's 31 ½ years existence and that $100,000 invested in the fund at inception was worth $420 million 31 ½ years later.
Jim Leitner of Falcon Management who claims to have taken $2 billion out of the market so far in his career says he "reads a tremendous amount of books and papers" and feels, "developing a network by going out and meeting groups of intelligent people is very important". He also recommends reading the Economist. Jim says, "The Economist had something on Nigeria, stating the average beer consumption had dropped from 34 liters to 3 and then rebounded to 4. That signaled to me that there must be a trade there. There is something going on when beer consumption drops 90% in a hot country and then starts to rebound. We started buying Guinness of Nigeria and its gone straight up over the last 3 years".
Peter Thiel, the former CEO and co-founder of PayPal who runs Clarium Capital Management was given this advice from a major venture capital partner when asking about the industry, "The best way to get into venture capital is to make at least $20 million by starting a company and selling it. Take that money and invest in other companies as a VC." He would give the same advice today.
Then there is Jim Rogers, the co-founder of the Quantum fund in 1969, and author of, Investment Biker, Adventures in Capitalism and Hot Commodities, who lives in a Victorian mansion overlooking the Hudson River on the Upper West Side of NY that he bought for $105,000 and is worth $15 million today. He's so hot on commodities he says, "one day lumberjacks and farmers may be on the cover of Fortune magazine" and thinks in the next decade, "oil will be at $150 a barrel and they will be drilling for it on the white house lawn and cotton will be $4 and they will be planting it in central park".
He is so bearish on the dollar he believes it can fall to half the value of the Euro. He says, "the pound sterling was once the worlds reserve currency and it went down 80% from top to bottom. The dollar went up 400% against it."
For market enthusiasts this book is tons of fun and you sure as hell pick up real insight as to the thoughts of some brilliant traders. I may pull more of my favorite parts that I'd like to remember and post them on my blog.
By Kevin Kingston, author of: A 20,000% Gain in Real Estate: A True Story About the Ups and Downs From Wall Street to Real Estate Leading to Phenomenal Returns
My Blog: The Real Estate Investors Blog


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Mastering the Trade: Proven Techniques for Profiting from Intraday and Swing Trading Setups (McGraw-Hill Trader's Edge Series) Review

Mastering the Trade: Proven Techniques for Profiting from Intraday and Swing Trading Setups (McGraw-Hill Trader's Edge Series)
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I like John Carter - I like him a lot. But there were some disappointments for me in this book. Namely, several chapters are of little or no use without proprietary indicators and downloads. Repeatedly throughout the book, Carter casually refers the reader to his website but nowhere does he mention that they are very, very expensive. The indicators are typically $400 to $500 each - you can buy a package of them for $1500 to $2000 - and the downloads require you to sign up for an expensive subscription to one of his website trading products. I still like Carter but, in my opinion, his credibility suffered a bit from these omissions.

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